Ted Cruz, Bernie Sanders win Wisconsin primaries

News Apr 05, 2016 by Daniel Dale OurWindsor.Ca

WASHINGTON — Ted Cruz won a convincing and critical victory over Donald Trump in the Republican primary in Wisconsin on Tuesday night, increasing his chances of forcing the billionaire demagogue to fight for the presidential nomination at a contested convention.

Bernie Sanders won Wisconsin’s Democratic primary, defeating Hillary Clinton in a state with a long tradition of progressive activism.

Fox News called the race for the Vermont senator nearly as soon as the polls closed, an indication of a substantial victory. His final margin of victory, unknown at press time, is key: only a lopsided margin of double digits or close would affect the trajectory of a race Clinton has dominated.

Cruz’s win is his most important since February, when he began the race by seizing the Iowa caucuses. It offers new hope to the party elites and grassroots activists desperately attempting to thwart the Trump triumph they believe would mean electoral catastrophe.

Trailing Trump badly, the right-wing Cruz has almost no chance to earn the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination before the convention. But the Wisconsin win was a major boon to his alternative plan: keeping Trump below the 1,237 threshold, then catapulting himself to first place over the course of a multi-ballot voting scrap on the convention floor in Cleveland in July.

“Tonight is a turning point. It is a rallying cry. It is a call from the hard-working men and women of Wisconsin to the people of America: we have a chance. A real chance,” Cruz said in his victory speech in Milwaukee. He added: “Either before Cleveland or at the convention in Cleveland, we will win a majority of the delegates.”

Trump still has a chance to avoid a convention fight. The race now heads to the northeast, a Trump-friendly region generally uneasy with Cruz’s brand of assertive religiosity. Polls suggest Trump is on track for a dominant victory in his home state of New York on April 19.

But even a series of solid performances in April and May could leave him shy of the threshold. The race may well come down to the final primary day, June 7, when California and New Jersey go the polls.

Trump’s blowout loss was the nadir of a dreadful week during which his campaign manager was charged with battery for yanking a female reporter, he was subjected to scathing interviews on right-wing talk radio, and he quickly reversed himself after declaring that women who get abortions should face punishment.

Trump had faced a tough slog in Wisconsin independent of his seven-day train wreck. The state’s influential right-wing radio hosts railed against him for weeks. The hyper-engaged voters of its most important Republican region, the wealthy Milwaukee suburbs, have long despised him. Gov. Scott Walker, still popular with the conservative base, backed Cruz. And anti-Trump groups poured millions into attack ads.

“We’ve always assumed that we would lose Wisconsin. So there’s nothing great at stake,” Trump adviser Barry Bennett, trying to reduce expectations, told Yahoo last week.

But Trump had campaigned hard there, speaking at three events on Monday alone — the last, in Milwaukee, to a hall nearly half-empty.

Trump was crushed by Cruz in the Milwaukee suburbs. He trailed 59 per cent to 23 per cent in early results in Waukesha County to the west, 56 per cent to 21 per cent in Ozaukee County to the north.

Early ABC exit polls underscored the depth of Republican angst about their front-runner. Four in 10 party voters said they were “scared” of what he would do as president. About half said they wanted a nominee with political experience. Thirty-five per cent said they would not vote for him as the nominee.

Wisconsin offered Sanders more favourable terrain: a heavily white Democratic electorate, a battle-tested group of left-wing activists, and a proud progressive past. But Clinton had led in the polls until early in the year.

Sanders, left-wing and largely unknown until six months ago, has now won seven of the last eight states over the former secretary of state, senator and first lady. His Wisconsin success is another demonstration of his substantial appeal to progressives, independents, young people and whites. And it is yet another warning to Clinton of her weakness with a substantial chunk of the electorate.

CNN exit polls suggested Sanders won 81 per cent of voters under 30, 71 per cent of self-identified independents, and 62 per cent of men. He was leading in every county but Milwaukee, the only place with a large number of black voters.

“If we win here tomorrow (Tuesday), it will be a major step forward. The media and all of the pundits considered us a fringe candidacy,” Sanders said Monday. “After all, they said, who in America is prepared to wage a political revolution? Many millions of Americans are prepared to do just that.”

But Clinton appears to have the advantage in the most important upcoming states. She leads by 11 points in polls of New York, a 247-delegate state where she served as a U.S. Senator (and where Sanders grew up). A double-digit victory there would more than wipe out any Sanders delegate gains from Wisconsin, where the voting decides 86 delegates.

The former secretary of state entered Wisconsin with a comfortable lead: about 1,700 delegates to Sanders’s 1,000 if you include “superdelegates” party insiders who can change their minds, about 1,250 delegates to Sanders’s 1,030 if you don’t. To make a significant dent in his deficit, Sanders needs a series of convincing results.

That’s because Democratic delegates in each state are awarded according to percentage of the vote. Sanders could beat Clinton in every single remaining state by a considerable margin — say 52 per cent to 48 per cent — and still fail to close the gap she built in earlier races.

Sanders, too, is now pinning his hopes on convention manoeuvring. His campaign insists it can change the minds of superdelegates, who have overwhelmingly preferred Clinton.

“When we arrive at the convention, it will be an open convention, likely with neither candidate having a majority of pledged delegates,” campaign manager Jeff Weaver said on CNN.

Toronto Star

Ted Cruz, Bernie Sanders win Wisconsin primaries

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz easily defeated billionaire businessman Donald Trump in Wisconsin’s Republican primary

News Apr 05, 2016 by Daniel Dale OurWindsor.Ca

WASHINGTON — Ted Cruz won a convincing and critical victory over Donald Trump in the Republican primary in Wisconsin on Tuesday night, increasing his chances of forcing the billionaire demagogue to fight for the presidential nomination at a contested convention.

Bernie Sanders won Wisconsin’s Democratic primary, defeating Hillary Clinton in a state with a long tradition of progressive activism.

Fox News called the race for the Vermont senator nearly as soon as the polls closed, an indication of a substantial victory. His final margin of victory, unknown at press time, is key: only a lopsided margin of double digits or close would affect the trajectory of a race Clinton has dominated.

Cruz’s win is his most important since February, when he began the race by seizing the Iowa caucuses. It offers new hope to the party elites and grassroots activists desperately attempting to thwart the Trump triumph they believe would mean electoral catastrophe.

Trailing Trump badly, the right-wing Cruz has almost no chance to earn the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination before the convention. But the Wisconsin win was a major boon to his alternative plan: keeping Trump below the 1,237 threshold, then catapulting himself to first place over the course of a multi-ballot voting scrap on the convention floor in Cleveland in July.

“Tonight is a turning point. It is a rallying cry. It is a call from the hard-working men and women of Wisconsin to the people of America: we have a chance. A real chance,” Cruz said in his victory speech in Milwaukee. He added: “Either before Cleveland or at the convention in Cleveland, we will win a majority of the delegates.”

Trump still has a chance to avoid a convention fight. The race now heads to the northeast, a Trump-friendly region generally uneasy with Cruz’s brand of assertive religiosity. Polls suggest Trump is on track for a dominant victory in his home state of New York on April 19.

But even a series of solid performances in April and May could leave him shy of the threshold. The race may well come down to the final primary day, June 7, when California and New Jersey go the polls.

Trump’s blowout loss was the nadir of a dreadful week during which his campaign manager was charged with battery for yanking a female reporter, he was subjected to scathing interviews on right-wing talk radio, and he quickly reversed himself after declaring that women who get abortions should face punishment.

Trump had faced a tough slog in Wisconsin independent of his seven-day train wreck. The state’s influential right-wing radio hosts railed against him for weeks. The hyper-engaged voters of its most important Republican region, the wealthy Milwaukee suburbs, have long despised him. Gov. Scott Walker, still popular with the conservative base, backed Cruz. And anti-Trump groups poured millions into attack ads.

“We’ve always assumed that we would lose Wisconsin. So there’s nothing great at stake,” Trump adviser Barry Bennett, trying to reduce expectations, told Yahoo last week.

But Trump had campaigned hard there, speaking at three events on Monday alone — the last, in Milwaukee, to a hall nearly half-empty.

Trump was crushed by Cruz in the Milwaukee suburbs. He trailed 59 per cent to 23 per cent in early results in Waukesha County to the west, 56 per cent to 21 per cent in Ozaukee County to the north.

Early ABC exit polls underscored the depth of Republican angst about their front-runner. Four in 10 party voters said they were “scared” of what he would do as president. About half said they wanted a nominee with political experience. Thirty-five per cent said they would not vote for him as the nominee.

Wisconsin offered Sanders more favourable terrain: a heavily white Democratic electorate, a battle-tested group of left-wing activists, and a proud progressive past. But Clinton had led in the polls until early in the year.

Sanders, left-wing and largely unknown until six months ago, has now won seven of the last eight states over the former secretary of state, senator and first lady. His Wisconsin success is another demonstration of his substantial appeal to progressives, independents, young people and whites. And it is yet another warning to Clinton of her weakness with a substantial chunk of the electorate.

CNN exit polls suggested Sanders won 81 per cent of voters under 30, 71 per cent of self-identified independents, and 62 per cent of men. He was leading in every county but Milwaukee, the only place with a large number of black voters.

“If we win here tomorrow (Tuesday), it will be a major step forward. The media and all of the pundits considered us a fringe candidacy,” Sanders said Monday. “After all, they said, who in America is prepared to wage a political revolution? Many millions of Americans are prepared to do just that.”

But Clinton appears to have the advantage in the most important upcoming states. She leads by 11 points in polls of New York, a 247-delegate state where she served as a U.S. Senator (and where Sanders grew up). A double-digit victory there would more than wipe out any Sanders delegate gains from Wisconsin, where the voting decides 86 delegates.

The former secretary of state entered Wisconsin with a comfortable lead: about 1,700 delegates to Sanders’s 1,000 if you include “superdelegates” party insiders who can change their minds, about 1,250 delegates to Sanders’s 1,030 if you don’t. To make a significant dent in his deficit, Sanders needs a series of convincing results.

That’s because Democratic delegates in each state are awarded according to percentage of the vote. Sanders could beat Clinton in every single remaining state by a considerable margin — say 52 per cent to 48 per cent — and still fail to close the gap she built in earlier races.

Sanders, too, is now pinning his hopes on convention manoeuvring. His campaign insists it can change the minds of superdelegates, who have overwhelmingly preferred Clinton.

“When we arrive at the convention, it will be an open convention, likely with neither candidate having a majority of pledged delegates,” campaign manager Jeff Weaver said on CNN.

Toronto Star

Ted Cruz, Bernie Sanders win Wisconsin primaries

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz easily defeated billionaire businessman Donald Trump in Wisconsin’s Republican primary

News Apr 05, 2016 by Daniel Dale OurWindsor.Ca

WASHINGTON — Ted Cruz won a convincing and critical victory over Donald Trump in the Republican primary in Wisconsin on Tuesday night, increasing his chances of forcing the billionaire demagogue to fight for the presidential nomination at a contested convention.

Bernie Sanders won Wisconsin’s Democratic primary, defeating Hillary Clinton in a state with a long tradition of progressive activism.

Fox News called the race for the Vermont senator nearly as soon as the polls closed, an indication of a substantial victory. His final margin of victory, unknown at press time, is key: only a lopsided margin of double digits or close would affect the trajectory of a race Clinton has dominated.

Cruz’s win is his most important since February, when he began the race by seizing the Iowa caucuses. It offers new hope to the party elites and grassroots activists desperately attempting to thwart the Trump triumph they believe would mean electoral catastrophe.

Trailing Trump badly, the right-wing Cruz has almost no chance to earn the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination before the convention. But the Wisconsin win was a major boon to his alternative plan: keeping Trump below the 1,237 threshold, then catapulting himself to first place over the course of a multi-ballot voting scrap on the convention floor in Cleveland in July.

“Tonight is a turning point. It is a rallying cry. It is a call from the hard-working men and women of Wisconsin to the people of America: we have a chance. A real chance,” Cruz said in his victory speech in Milwaukee. He added: “Either before Cleveland or at the convention in Cleveland, we will win a majority of the delegates.”

Trump still has a chance to avoid a convention fight. The race now heads to the northeast, a Trump-friendly region generally uneasy with Cruz’s brand of assertive religiosity. Polls suggest Trump is on track for a dominant victory in his home state of New York on April 19.

But even a series of solid performances in April and May could leave him shy of the threshold. The race may well come down to the final primary day, June 7, when California and New Jersey go the polls.

Trump’s blowout loss was the nadir of a dreadful week during which his campaign manager was charged with battery for yanking a female reporter, he was subjected to scathing interviews on right-wing talk radio, and he quickly reversed himself after declaring that women who get abortions should face punishment.

Trump had faced a tough slog in Wisconsin independent of his seven-day train wreck. The state’s influential right-wing radio hosts railed against him for weeks. The hyper-engaged voters of its most important Republican region, the wealthy Milwaukee suburbs, have long despised him. Gov. Scott Walker, still popular with the conservative base, backed Cruz. And anti-Trump groups poured millions into attack ads.

“We’ve always assumed that we would lose Wisconsin. So there’s nothing great at stake,” Trump adviser Barry Bennett, trying to reduce expectations, told Yahoo last week.

But Trump had campaigned hard there, speaking at three events on Monday alone — the last, in Milwaukee, to a hall nearly half-empty.

Trump was crushed by Cruz in the Milwaukee suburbs. He trailed 59 per cent to 23 per cent in early results in Waukesha County to the west, 56 per cent to 21 per cent in Ozaukee County to the north.

Early ABC exit polls underscored the depth of Republican angst about their front-runner. Four in 10 party voters said they were “scared” of what he would do as president. About half said they wanted a nominee with political experience. Thirty-five per cent said they would not vote for him as the nominee.

Wisconsin offered Sanders more favourable terrain: a heavily white Democratic electorate, a battle-tested group of left-wing activists, and a proud progressive past. But Clinton had led in the polls until early in the year.

Sanders, left-wing and largely unknown until six months ago, has now won seven of the last eight states over the former secretary of state, senator and first lady. His Wisconsin success is another demonstration of his substantial appeal to progressives, independents, young people and whites. And it is yet another warning to Clinton of her weakness with a substantial chunk of the electorate.

CNN exit polls suggested Sanders won 81 per cent of voters under 30, 71 per cent of self-identified independents, and 62 per cent of men. He was leading in every county but Milwaukee, the only place with a large number of black voters.

“If we win here tomorrow (Tuesday), it will be a major step forward. The media and all of the pundits considered us a fringe candidacy,” Sanders said Monday. “After all, they said, who in America is prepared to wage a political revolution? Many millions of Americans are prepared to do just that.”

But Clinton appears to have the advantage in the most important upcoming states. She leads by 11 points in polls of New York, a 247-delegate state where she served as a U.S. Senator (and where Sanders grew up). A double-digit victory there would more than wipe out any Sanders delegate gains from Wisconsin, where the voting decides 86 delegates.

The former secretary of state entered Wisconsin with a comfortable lead: about 1,700 delegates to Sanders’s 1,000 if you include “superdelegates” party insiders who can change their minds, about 1,250 delegates to Sanders’s 1,030 if you don’t. To make a significant dent in his deficit, Sanders needs a series of convincing results.

That’s because Democratic delegates in each state are awarded according to percentage of the vote. Sanders could beat Clinton in every single remaining state by a considerable margin — say 52 per cent to 48 per cent — and still fail to close the gap she built in earlier races.

Sanders, too, is now pinning his hopes on convention manoeuvring. His campaign insists it can change the minds of superdelegates, who have overwhelmingly preferred Clinton.

“When we arrive at the convention, it will be an open convention, likely with neither candidate having a majority of pledged delegates,” campaign manager Jeff Weaver said on CNN.

Toronto Star